2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona: Difference between revisions
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{{use American English|date=November 2022}} |
{{use American English|date=November 2022}} |
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{{for|related races|2024 United States House of Representatives elections}} |
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<section begin="houseinfobox" />{{Infobox election |
<section begin="houseinfobox" />{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona |
| election_name = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona |
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| election_date = November 5, 2024 |
| election_date = November 5, 2024 |
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| party1 = Republican Party (United States) |
| party1 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| last_election1 = 6 |
| last_election1 = '''6''' |
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| seats1 = 6 |
| seats1 = '''6''' |
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| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| last_election2 = 3 |
| last_election2 = 3 |
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{{Elections in Arizona}} |
{{Elections in Arizona}} |
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<section begin="houseintro" />The '''2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona''' will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine [[U.S. representative]]s from the [[U.S. state|State]] of [[Arizona]], one from all nine of the state's [[Arizona's congressional districts|congressional districts]]. The elections will coincide with the [[2024 United States presidential election|2024 U.S. presidential election]], as well as [[2024 United States House of Representatives elections|other elections]] to the House of Representatives, [[2024 United States Senate elections|elections]] to the [[United States Senate]], and various [[2024 United States elections|state and local elections]]. The primary elections will take place on July 30, 2024.<section end="houseintro" /> |
<section begin="houseintro" />The '''2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona''' will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine [[U.S. representative]]s from the [[U.S. state|State]] of [[Arizona]], one from all nine of the state's [[Arizona's congressional districts|congressional districts]]. The elections will coincide with the [[2024 United States presidential election|2024 U.S. presidential election]], as well as [[2024 United States House of Representatives elections|other elections]] to the House of Representatives, [[2024 United States Senate elections|elections]] to the [[United States Senate]], and various [[2024 United States elections|state and local elections]]. The primary elections will take place on July 30, 2024.<section end="houseintro" /> |
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{{Horizontal TOC|nonum=yes|limit=2}} |
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==District 1== |
==District 1== |
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*[[AIPAC]]<ref name="AIPACENDORSE">{{Cite web |title=- AIPAC Political Portal |url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured |access-date=2024-05-13 |website=candidates.aipacpac.org}}</ref> |
*[[AIPAC]]<ref name="AIPACENDORSE">{{Cite web |title=- AIPAC Political Portal |url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured |access-date=2024-05-13 |website=candidates.aipacpac.org}}</ref> |
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*[[Americans for Prosperity]]<ref name="afptoma">{{Cite web |last=christine |date=2024-01-23 |title=Americans for Prosperity Action Backs Arizona Fiscal Champions for Congress |url=https://afpaction.com/americans-for-prosperity-action-backs-arizona-fiscal-champions-for-congress/ |access-date=2024-01-24 |website=AFP Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Americans for Prosperity]]<ref name="afptoma">{{Cite web |last=christine |date=2024-01-23 |title=Americans for Prosperity Action Backs Arizona Fiscal Champions for Congress |url=https://afpaction.com/americans-for-prosperity-action-backs-arizona-fiscal-champions-for-congress/ |access-date=2024-01-24 |website=AFP Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Campaign for Working Families]]<ref name="CWFendorsements">{{Cite web |title=Endorsed Candidates {{!}} CWF |url=https://www.cwfpac.com/endorsedcandidates |access-date=2024-03-18 |website=www.cwfpac.com}}</ref> |
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*[[ClearPath Foundation|ClearPath Action Fund]]<ref name="clearpathendorsements">{{Cite web |title=Clear Path Action Fund |url=https://clearpathactionfund.org/ |access-date=2024-02-11 |website=Clear Path Action Fund |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[ClearPath Foundation|ClearPath Action Fund]]<ref name="clearpathendorsements">{{Cite web |title=Clear Path Action Fund |url=https://clearpathactionfund.org/ |access-date=2024-02-11 |website=Clear Path Action Fund |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Huck PAC]]<ref name="HUCK">{{Cite web |title=Huck PAC endorses 19 new candidates in 12 states – Blog – Huck PAC |url=https://www.huckpac.com/blog_1?ID=80C38336-4BA1-4E7C-81D4-EC92DDA6C9FF |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230906160052/https://www.huckpac.com/blog_1?ID=80C38336-4BA1-4E7C-81D4-EC92DDA6C9FF |archive-date=2023-09-06 |access-date=2023-09-06 |publisher=Huck PAC |language=en}}</ref> |
*[[Huck PAC]]<ref name="HUCK">{{Cite web |title=Huck PAC endorses 19 new candidates in 12 states – Blog – Huck PAC |url=https://www.huckpac.com/blog_1?ID=80C38336-4BA1-4E7C-81D4-EC92DDA6C9FF |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230906160052/https://www.huckpac.com/blog_1?ID=80C38336-4BA1-4E7C-81D4-EC92DDA6C9FF |archive-date=2023-09-06 |access-date=2023-09-06 |publisher=Huck PAC |language=en}}</ref> |
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;U.S representatives |
;U.S representatives |
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*[[Seth Moulton]], [[U.S. representative]] from {{ushr|ma|6}} (2015–present)<ref name="SethMoultonPAC">{{Cite web |title=Candidates |url=https://serveamericapac.com/candidates |access-date=2024-01-02 |website=Serve America PAC |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Seth Moulton]], [[U.S. representative]] from {{ushr|ma|6}} (2015–present)<ref name="SethMoultonPAC">{{Cite web |title=Candidates |url=https://serveamericapac.com/candidates |access-date=2024-01-02 |website=Serve America PAC |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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;Local officials |
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*[[Kate Gallego]], mayor of [[Phoenix, Arizona|Phoenix]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Gersony |first1=Laura |title=Phoenix Mayor Kate Gallego endorses congressional candidate Andrei Cherny |url=https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/06/18/phoenix-mayor-kate-gallego-endorses-andrei-cherny-for-u-s-congress/74131540007/ |publisher=[[The Arizona Republic]] |access-date=18 June 2024 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240618210553/https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/06/18/phoenix-mayor-kate-gallego-endorses-andrei-cherny-for-u-s-congress/74131540007/ |archive-date=18 June 2024 |date=18 June 2024 |url-status=live |url-access=subscription}}</ref> |
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;Organizations |
;Organizations |
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*[[Brady Campaign|Brady PAC]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-11-14 |title=Brady PAC Endorses Andrei Cherny for Congress |url=https://bradypac.org/brady-pac-endorses-andrei-cherny-for-congress/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115141924/https://bradypac.org/brady-pac-endorses-andrei-cherny-for-congress/ |archive-date=2023-11-15 |access-date=2023-11-15 |publisher=Brady PAC |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Brady Campaign|Brady PAC]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-11-14 |title=Brady PAC Endorses Andrei Cherny for Congress |url=https://bradypac.org/brady-pac-endorses-andrei-cherny-for-congress/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115141924/https://bradypac.org/brady-pac-endorses-andrei-cherny-for-congress/ |archive-date=2023-11-15 |access-date=2023-11-15 |publisher=Brady PAC |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Val Hoyle]], [[U.S. representative]] from {{ushr|OR|4}} (2023–present)<ref>{{Cite web |title=Release: Congresswoman Val Hoyle Endorses Conor O'Callaghan |url=https://yellowsheetreport.com/2023/10/11/release-congresswoman-val-hoyle-endorses-conor-ocallaghan/ |access-date=2023-10-17 |website=Yellow Sheet Report |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Val Hoyle]], [[U.S. representative]] from {{ushr|OR|4}} (2023–present)<ref>{{Cite web |title=Release: Congresswoman Val Hoyle Endorses Conor O'Callaghan |url=https://yellowsheetreport.com/2023/10/11/release-congresswoman-val-hoyle-endorses-conor-ocallaghan/ |access-date=2023-10-17 |website=Yellow Sheet Report |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Max Rose]], former [[U.S. representative]] from {{ushr|NY|11}} (2019–2021)<ref>{{Cite web |title=Former Congressman Max Rose Endorses Conor O'Callaghan |url=https://yellowsheetreport.com/2023/09/26/former-congressman-max-rose-endorses-conor-ocallaghan/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231017000147/https://yellowsheetreport.com/2023/09/26/former-congressman-max-rose-endorses-conor-ocallaghan/ |archive-date=2023-10-17 |access-date=2023-10-17 |website=Yellow Sheet Report |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Max Rose]], former [[U.S. representative]] from {{ushr|NY|11}} (2019–2021)<ref>{{Cite web |title=Former Congressman Max Rose Endorses Conor O'Callaghan |url=https://yellowsheetreport.com/2023/09/26/former-congressman-max-rose-endorses-conor-ocallaghan/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231017000147/https://yellowsheetreport.com/2023/09/26/former-congressman-max-rose-endorses-conor-ocallaghan/ |archive-date=2023-10-17 |access-date=2023-10-17 |website=Yellow Sheet Report |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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;Individuals |
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*[[Howie Klein]], former president of [[Reprise Records]] (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at [[McGill University]]<ref name="blueconnor">{{Cite web |last=Klein |first=Howie |date=2024-05-12 |title=AZ-01, One Of The Keys To Flipping Congress |url=https://blueamerica.crooksandliars.com/2024/05/12/az-01-one-of-the-keys-to-flipping-congress/ |access-date=2024-05-14 |website=Blue America |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Digby (blogger)|Heather Digby Parton]], political blogger<ref name="blueconnor" /> |
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}}{{Endorsements box |
}}{{Endorsements box |
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|title=Amish Shah |
|title=Amish Shah |
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*[[Asian American Action Fund]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Endorsements |url=https://www.aaafund.org/endorsements |access-date=2024-05-09 |website=AAAFund |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Asian American Action Fund]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Endorsements |url=https://www.aaafund.org/endorsements |access-date=2024-05-09 |website=AAAFund |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Democrats Serve]]<ref>{{cite press release |title=Democrats Serve PAC endorses 12 new U.S. Senate and House candidates |url=https://democratsserve.org/press-releases/release-democrats-serve-pac-endorses-12-new-us-senate-and-house-candidates |access-date=March 15, 2024 |work=[[Democrats Serve]] |date=March 13, 2024}}</ref> |
*[[Democrats Serve]]<ref>{{cite press release |title=Democrats Serve PAC endorses 12 new U.S. Senate and House candidates |url=https://democratsserve.org/press-releases/release-democrats-serve-pac-endorses-12-new-us-senate-and-house-candidates |access-date=March 15, 2024 |work=[[Democrats Serve]] |date=March 13, 2024}}</ref> |
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*[[Hindu American Foundation|Hindu American PAC]]<ref>{{Cite web |last=caitlin |date=2024-06-06 |title=AFP Action Endorses Joe McGraw in IL-17 |url=https://afpaction.com/afp-action-endorses-joe-mcgraw-in-il-17/ |access-date=2024-06-13 |website=AFP Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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}} |
}} |
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|- |
|- |
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! colspan="4" |<small>Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref name="FEC"/></small> |
! colspan="4" |<small>Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref name="FEC"/></small> |
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|} |
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====Polling==== |
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{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
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|- valign=bottom |
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! Poll source |
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! Date(s)<br />administered |
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! Sample<br />size{{efn|name="Key"}} |
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! Margin<br />of error |
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! style="width:80px;"| Andrei<br />Cherny |
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! style="width:80px;"| Marlene<br />{{nowrap|Galán-Woods}} |
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! style="width:80px;"| Andrew<br />Horne |
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! style="width:80px;"| Conor<br />O'Callaghan |
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! style="width:80px;"| Amish<br />Shah |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.termlimits.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/2024-AZ01-Poll-Executive-Summary.pdf RMG Research]{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by [[U.S. Term Limits]]}} |
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|June 10-19, 2024 |
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|406(LV) |
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|± 4.9% |
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|12% |
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|12% |
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|11% |
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|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''17%''' |
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|15% |
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|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''33%'''{{efn|"Someone else" with 7%}} |
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|} |
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=== Debate === |
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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |
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|+ 2024 Arizona's 1st congressional district democratic primary debate |
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|- |
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! scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}} |
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! scope="col" | Date |
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! scope="col" | Host |
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! scope="col" | Moderator |
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! scope="col" | Link |
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! scope="col"| <small>[[Democratic Party (US)|Democratic]]</small> |
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! scope="col"| <small>[[Democratic Party (US)|Democratic]]</small> |
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! scope="col"| <small>[[Democratic Party (US)|Democratic]]</small> |
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! scope="col"| <small>[[Democratic Party (US)|Democratic]]</small> |
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! scope="col"| <small>[[Democratic Party (US)|Democratic]]</small> |
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! scope="col"| <small>[[Democratic Party (US)|Democratic]]</small> |
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|- |
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! colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:<br />{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} <small>Participant </small> {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} <small>Absent </small> {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} <small>Not invited </small> {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} <small>Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn</small> |
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! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
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! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
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! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
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! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
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! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
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! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
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|- |
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! scope="col" | [[Andrei Cherny]] |
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! scope="col" | Marlene Galán-Woods |
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! scope="col" | Andrew Horne |
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! scope="col" | Kurt Kroemer |
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! scope="col" | Conor O'Callaghan |
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! scope="col" | [[Amish Shah]] |
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|- |
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!1 |
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| style="white-space:nowrap;" | May. 17, 2024 |
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| style="white-space:nowrap;" | |
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| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Steve Goldstien<br>Richard Ruelas |
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| style="white-space:nowrap;" | [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyWwQ0DFdBI YouTube] |
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| {{Yes|'''P'''}} |
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| {{Yes|'''P'''}} |
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| {{Yes|'''P'''}} |
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| {{Yes|'''P'''}} |
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| {{Yes|'''P'''}} |
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| {{Yes|'''P'''}} |
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|} |
|} |
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| list = |
| list = |
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;Organizations |
;Organizations |
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*[[Club for Growth]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=National Conservative PAC {{!}} Club for Growth Political Action Committee |url=https://www.clubforgrowth.org/elections/pac-endorsed-candidates/ |access-date=2024-05-16 |website=Club for Growth |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Campaign for Working Families]]<ref name="CWFendorsements" /> |
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*[[Turning Point Action]]<ref name="TPUSAENDORSE">{{Cite web |title=Endorsements |url=https://www.tpaction.com/endorsements/ |access-date=2023-12-14 |website=Turning Point Action}}</ref> |
*[[Turning Point Action]]<ref name="TPUSAENDORSE">{{Cite web |title=Endorsements |url=https://www.tpaction.com/endorsements/ |access-date=2023-12-14 |website=Turning Point Action}}</ref> |
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}} |
}} |
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;Tribes |
;Tribes |
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*[[San Carlos Apache Tribe]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Sowders |first1=David |title=San Carlos Tribal Council endorses Nez candidacy |url=https://silverbelt.com/article/san-carlos-tribal-council-endorses-nez-candidacy |website=Silver Belt |publisher=Arizona Silver Belt |access-date=21 November 2023 |date=December 9, 2023}}</ref> |
*[[San Carlos Apache Tribe]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Sowders |first1=David |title=San Carlos Tribal Council endorses Nez candidacy |url=https://silverbelt.com/article/san-carlos-tribal-council-endorses-nez-candidacy |website=Silver Belt |publisher=Arizona Silver Belt |access-date=21 November 2023 |date=December 9, 2023}}</ref> |
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* [[Tohono O'odham Nation]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Endorsing Jonathan |
* [[Tohono O'odham Nation]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Endorsing Jonathan Nez's Candidacy for Arizona's Second Congressional District |url=https://www.tolc-nsn.gov/docs/Actions24/24115.pdf |publisher=Tohono O'odham Legislative Branch |access-date=29 April 2024 |date=April 10, 2024}}</ref> |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Endorsements box |
{{Endorsements box |
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| title = Yassamin Ansari |
| title = Yassamin Ansari |
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| width = 50em |
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| list = |
| list = |
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;Labor unions |
;Labor unions |
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{{Endorsements box |
{{Endorsements box |
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| title = Raquel Terán |
| title = Raquel Terán |
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| width = 50em |
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| colwidth = 60 |
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| list = |
| list = |
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;U.S. senators |
;U.S. senators |
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*[[League of Conservation Voters]]<ref name="lcv">{{Cite web |title=LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements |url=https://www.lcv.org/media-center/lcv-action-fund-announces-first-round-of-congressional-endorsements/ |access-date=2023-07-27 |publisher=League of Conservation Voters |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[League of Conservation Voters]]<ref name="lcv">{{Cite web |title=LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements |url=https://www.lcv.org/media-center/lcv-action-fund-announces-first-round-of-congressional-endorsements/ |access-date=2023-07-27 |publisher=League of Conservation Voters |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Let America Vote]]<ref name="eculavtonnyvendorse" /> |
*[[Let America Vote]]<ref name="eculavtonnyvendorse" /> |
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*[[Our Revolution]]<ref name="ourrevendorse">{{Cite web |title=Endorsements |url=https://ourrevolution.com/endorsements/ |access-date=2024-05-16 |website=Our Revolution |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[People's Action]]<ref name="peoplesactionslate">{{Cite web |title=The People's Slate |url=https://peoplesaction.org/movement-politics/slate/ |access-date=2024-03-12 |website=People's Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[People's Action]]<ref name="peoplesactionslate">{{Cite web |title=The People's Slate |url=https://peoplesaction.org/movement-politics/slate/ |access-date=2024-03-12 |website=People's Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Planned Parenthood Action Fund]]<ref name="planedpartenhodendorsementsslate">{{Cite web |title=New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024 |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/pressroom/new-planned-parenthood-action-fund-endorsements-we-can-flip-the-house-by-electing-these-reproductive-rights-champions-in-2024 |access-date=2024-02-15 |website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org |language=en}}</ref> |
*[[Planned Parenthood Action Fund]]<ref name="planedpartenhodendorsementsslate">{{Cite web |title=New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024 |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/pressroom/new-planned-parenthood-action-fund-endorsements-we-can-flip-the-house-by-electing-these-reproductive-rights-champions-in-2024 |access-date=2024-02-15 |website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org |language=en}}</ref> |
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*[[PODER PAC]]<ref name="PODER PAC endorsements">{{Cite web |title=Candidates |url=https://www.poderpac.com/candidates |access-date=2023-12-04 |publisher=PODER PAC |language=en}}</ref> |
*[[PODER PAC]]<ref name="PODER PAC endorsements">{{Cite web |title=Candidates |url=https://www.poderpac.com/candidates |access-date=2023-12-04 |publisher=PODER PAC |language=en}}</ref> |
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*[[Reproductive Freedom for All]]<ref name="RPFFA1stendorsementscandidates">{{Cite web |date=2023-10-24 |title=Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House |url=https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-slate-of-champions-for-the-u-s-house/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231024142708/https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-slate-of-champions-for-the-u-s-house/ |archive-date=2023-10-24 |access-date=2023-10-24 |publisher=Reproductive Freedom for All |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Reproductive Freedom for All]]<ref name="RPFFA1stendorsementscandidates">{{Cite web |date=2023-10-24 |title=Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House |url=https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-slate-of-champions-for-the-u-s-house/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231024142708/https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-slate-of-champions-for-the-u-s-house/ |archive-date=2023-10-24 |access-date=2023-10-24 |publisher=Reproductive Freedom for All |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[UnidosUS]]<ref name="UnidosUSAZendorse">{{Cite web |title=UnidosUS Action Fund announces endorsement of Biden, Harris, and Democratic candidates Ruben Gallego, Raquel Terán and Kirsten Engel |url=https://www.unidosusaf.org/endorsements2024 |access-date=2024-05-16 |website=UnidosUS Action Fund |language=en}}</ref> |
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*[[Vote Mama]]<ref name="votemama">{{Cite web |title=Vote Mama PAC {{!}} Candidates |url=https://www.votemamapac.org/candidatesold |access-date=2023-12-11 |website=Vote Mama PAC |language=en}}</ref> |
*[[Vote Mama]]<ref name="votemama">{{Cite web |title=Vote Mama PAC {{!}} Candidates |url=https://www.votemamapac.org/candidatesold |access-date=2023-12-11 |website=Vote Mama PAC |language=en}}</ref> |
||
*[[Working Families Party]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Monaco |first1=Charles |last2=Marquez |first2=Matthew |title=WFP Endorses Raquel Terán for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District |url=https://workingfamilies.org/2023/07/wfp-endorses-raquel-teran-for-arizonas-3rd-congressional-district/ |publisher=Working Families Party |language=en |date=25 July 2023}}</ref> |
*[[Working Families Party]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Monaco |first1=Charles |last2=Marquez |first2=Matthew |title=WFP Endorses Raquel Terán for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District |url=https://workingfamilies.org/2023/07/wfp-endorses-raquel-teran-for-arizonas-3rd-congressional-district/ |publisher=Working Families Party |language=en |date=25 July 2023}}</ref> |
||
Line 500: | Line 582: | ||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|Key:<br>A – all adults<br>RV – registered voters<br>LV – likely voters<br>V – unclear|name="Key"}} |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|Key:<br>A – all adults<br>RV – registered voters<br>LV – likely voters<br>V – unclear|name="Key"}} |
||
! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br>of error |
||
! style="width: |
! style="width:75px;"| Yassamin<br/>Ansari |
||
! style="width: |
! style="width:75px;"| Raquel<br/>Terán |
||
! style="width: |
! style="width:75px;"| Duane<br/>Wooten |
||
! Other |
! Other |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
Line 678: | Line 760: | ||
*[[Natural Resources Defense Council]]<ref name="NRDCAF1">{{Cite web |last=Dison |first=Denis |date=2023-09-20 |title=NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents |url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/news/nrdc-action-fund-endorses-51-house-senate-incumbents/ |access-date=2023-09-20 |publisher=NRDC Action Fund |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Natural Resources Defense Council]]<ref name="NRDCAF1">{{Cite web |last=Dison |first=Denis |date=2023-09-20 |title=NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents |url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/news/nrdc-action-fund-endorses-51-house-senate-incumbents/ |access-date=2023-09-20 |publisher=NRDC Action Fund |language=en-US}}</ref> |
||
*[[National Organization for Women]] PAC<ref name="NOWPACENDORSE">{{Cite web |title=2024 Federal Endorsements |url=https://www.nowpac.org/2024-federal-endorsements |access-date=2024-03-25 |website=NOW PAC |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[National Organization for Women]] PAC<ref name="NOWPACENDORSE">{{Cite web |title=2024 Federal Endorsements |url=https://www.nowpac.org/2024-federal-endorsements |access-date=2024-03-25 |website=NOW PAC |language=en-US}}</ref> |
||
*[[Planned Parenthood Action Fund]]<ref name="PPAF">{{cite web |title=2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/act/2024-endorsements |publisher=[[Planned Parenthood Action Fund]] |access-date=November 6, 2023 |language=en}}</ref> |
|||
*[[Population Connection]] Action Fund<ref name="pop" /> |
*[[Population Connection]] Action Fund<ref name="pop" /> |
||
*[[Sierra Club]]<ref name="Sierra Club 2024 endorsements">{{Cite web |title=2024 Endorsements |url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements |access-date=2023-10-20 |website=www.sierraclubindependentaction.org}}</ref> |
*[[Sierra Club]]<ref name="Sierra Club 2024 endorsements">{{Cite web |title=2024 Endorsements |url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements |access-date=2023-10-20 |website=www.sierraclubindependentaction.org}}</ref> |
||
Line 713: | Line 796: | ||
*[[Jerone Davison]], pastor, former [[National Football League]] player, and candidate for this district in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4|2022]]<ref name=AZ2024/> |
*[[Jerone Davison]], pastor, former [[National Football League]] player, and candidate for this district in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4|2022]]<ref name=AZ2024/> |
||
*Dave Giles, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in [[2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4|2016]] and [[2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4|2020]]<ref name = already/> |
*Dave Giles, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in [[2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4|2016]] and [[2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona#District 4|2020]]<ref name = already/> |
||
*[[Zuhdi Jasser]], physician |
*[[Zuhdi Jasser]], physician and [[Liberal and progressive movements within Islam|Islamic reformer]]<ref>{{cite news |title=We have to defeat this ideology and reform it from within: Dr. Zuhdi Jasser |url=https://www.foxnews.com/video/6339152926112 |publisher=Fox News |date=October 14, 2023 |access-date=November 19, 2023 |quote=Arizona Republican congressional candidate Dr. Zuhdi Jasser weighs in on the 'Day of Jihad' protests nationwide and Hamas' ideology on 'FOX & Friends Weekend.'}}</ref> |
||
====Fundraising==== |
====Fundraising==== |
||
Line 824: | Line 907: | ||
;Organizations |
;Organizations |
||
*[[AIPAC]]<ref name="AIPACENDORSE" /> |
*[[AIPAC]]<ref name="AIPACENDORSE" /> |
||
*[[Campaign for Working Families]]<ref name="CWFendorsements" /> |
|||
*[[Turning Point Action]]<ref name="TPUSAENDORSE" /> |
*[[Turning Point Action]]<ref name="TPUSAENDORSE" /> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 974: | Line 1,056: | ||
;Organizations |
;Organizations |
||
*[[AIPAC]]<ref name="AIPACENDORSE" /> |
*[[AIPAC]]<ref name="AIPACENDORSE" /> |
||
*[[American Bankers Association]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=ABA Joins Arizona Bankers Association in Releasing New Ad Encouraging Rep. Juan Ciscomani to Continue Fighting for Small Businesses |url=https://www.aba.com/about-us/press-room/press-releases/arizona-juan-ciscomani-ad |website=[[American Bankers Association]]}}</ref> |
|||
*[[Americans for Prosperity]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-06-30 |title=Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 House Races |url=https://afpaction.com/americans-for-prosperity-action-announces-first-wave-of-endorsements-in-2024-house-races/ |access-date=2023-07-04 |publisher=AFP Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Americans for Prosperity]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-06-30 |title=Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 House Races |url=https://afpaction.com/americans-for-prosperity-action-announces-first-wave-of-endorsements-in-2024-house-races/ |access-date=2023-07-04 |publisher=AFP Action |language=en-US}}</ref> |
||
*[[Campaign for Working Families]]<ref name="CWFendorsements" /> |
|||
*[[Huck PAC]]<ref name="HUCK" /> |
*[[Huck PAC]]<ref name="HUCK" /> |
||
*[[Log Cabin Republicans]] PAC<ref name="logcabinendorsements">{{Cite web |title=2024 Endorsed Candidates |url=http://logcabin.org/2024-endorsed-candidates/ |access-date=2024-04-04 |website=Log Cabin Republicans |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Log Cabin Republicans]] PAC<ref name="logcabinendorsements">{{Cite web |title=2024 Endorsed Candidates |url=http://logcabin.org/2024-endorsed-candidates/ |access-date=2024-04-04 |website=Log Cabin Republicans |language=en-US}}</ref> |
||
*[[National Federation of Independent Business]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-05-09 |title= |
*[[National Federation of Independent Business]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-05-09 |title=Arizona's Small Businesses Endorse U.S. Rep. Juan Ciscomani for Re-Election |url=https://www.nfib.com/content/news/arizona/arizonas-small-businesses-endorse-u-s-rep-juan-ciscomani-for-re-election/ |access-date=2024-05-09 |website=NFIB |language=en}}</ref> |
||
*[[Pro-Israel America]]<ref name="PRO-ISRAELmarchtwentyfour">{{Cite web |date=2024-03-28 |title=Pro-Israel America Announces Twelve New Candidate Endorsements |url=https://proisraelamerica.org/pro-israel-america-announces-twelve-new-candidate-endorsements/ |access-date=2024-04-02 |website=Pro Israel America |language=en}}</ref> |
*[[Pro-Israel America]]<ref name="PRO-ISRAELmarchtwentyfour">{{Cite web |date=2024-03-28 |title=Pro-Israel America Announces Twelve New Candidate Endorsements |url=https://proisraelamerica.org/pro-israel-america-announces-twelve-new-candidate-endorsements/ |access-date=2024-04-02 |website=Pro Israel America |language=en}}</ref> |
||
*[[Republican Jewish Coalition]]<ref name="RJC" /> |
*[[Republican Jewish Coalition]]<ref name="RJC" /> |
||
Line 1,027: | Line 1,109: | ||
{{Endorsements box |
{{Endorsements box |
||
| title = Kirsten Engel |
| title = Kirsten Engel |
||
| |
| colwidth = 60 |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
;U.S. senators |
;U.S. senators |
||
Line 1,054: | Line 1,136: | ||
*[[Reproductive Freedom for All]]<ref name="RPFFA1stendorsementscandidates" /> |
*[[Reproductive Freedom for All]]<ref name="RPFFA1stendorsementscandidates" /> |
||
*[[Sierra Club]]<ref name="Sierra Club 2024 endorsements" /> |
*[[Sierra Club]]<ref name="Sierra Club 2024 endorsements" /> |
||
*[[UnidosUS]]<ref name="UnidosUSAZendorse" /> |
|||
;Labor unions |
;Labor unions |
||
Line 1,131: | Line 1,214: | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
||
|November 16, 2023 |
|November 16, 2023 |
||
|} |
|||
====Polling==== |
|||
;Juan Ciscomani vs. Kirsten Engel |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"}} |
|||
! Margin<br>of error |
|||
! style="width:100px;"| Juan<br>Ciscomani (R) |
|||
! style="width:100px;"| Kirsten<br>Engel (D) |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://nypost.com/2024/06/17/us-news/abortion-not-a-factor-as-arizona-gop-rep-ciscomani-leads-in-competitive-race/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Ciscomani's campaign}} |
|||
|May 28–30, 2024 |
|||
|300 (RV) |
|||
|± 5.7% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|39% |
|||
|11% |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 1,323: | Line 1,427: | ||
*[[Richard Grenell]], Acting [[Director of National Intelligence]] (2020), [[U.S. Ambassador to Germany]] (2018–2020)<ref name="Hamadehs slate" /> |
*[[Richard Grenell]], Acting [[Director of National Intelligence]] (2020), [[U.S. Ambassador to Germany]] (2018–2020)<ref name="Hamadehs slate" /> |
||
*[[Robert C. O'Brien|Robert O'Brien]], former [[National Security Advisor (United States)|National Security Adviser]] (2019–2021)<ref name="Hamadehs slate">{{Cite news |last=Kurson |first=Ken |date=2023-10-24 |title=Hamadeh Unfurls Steady Slate of Endorsers in CD8 |url=https://thearizonaglobe.com/congress/hamadeh-unfurls-steady-slate-of-endorsers-in-cd8/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231024144637/https://thearizonaglobe.com/congress/hamadeh-unfurls-steady-slate-of-endorsers-in-cd8/ |archive-date=2023-10-24 |access-date=2023-10-24 |website=Arizona Globe |language=en-US}})</ref> |
*[[Robert C. O'Brien|Robert O'Brien]], former [[National Security Advisor (United States)|National Security Adviser]] (2019–2021)<ref name="Hamadehs slate">{{Cite news |last=Kurson |first=Ken |date=2023-10-24 |title=Hamadeh Unfurls Steady Slate of Endorsers in CD8 |url=https://thearizonaglobe.com/congress/hamadeh-unfurls-steady-slate-of-endorsers-in-cd8/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231024144637/https://thearizonaglobe.com/congress/hamadeh-unfurls-steady-slate-of-endorsers-in-cd8/ |archive-date=2023-10-24 |access-date=2023-10-24 |website=Arizona Globe |language=en-US}})</ref> |
||
*[[Donald Trump]], 45th [[president of the United States]] ( |
*[[Donald Trump]], 45th [[president of the United States]] (2017–2021)<ref>{{Cite news |last=Gersony |first=Laura |date=2023-12-08 |title=Here's who former President Trump wants to replace Rep. Debbie Lesko in Congress |url=https://eu.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/12/08/former-president-donald-trump-endorses-abe-hamadeh-for-congress-in-cd8/71857539007/ |access-date=2023-12-08 |website=[[The Arizona Republic]] |language=en-US}}</ref> |
||
;Statewide officials |
;Statewide officials |
||
Line 1,431: | Line 1,535: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/boaat9znnox7ecyu7h8np/FILE_5366.pdf?rlkey=2xoeog1brhift5ynfoe3f9637&e=2&st=owoructd&dl=0 The Strategy Group Company]{{efn-ua|name=Hamadeh}} |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Arizona-CD-8-Smart-Chart-Results.pdf SPRY Strategies]{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by American Principles Project, which supports Masters}} |
|||
|June 10–12, 2024 |
|||
|620 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.2% |
|||
|12% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''30%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|19% |
|||
|10% |
|||
|– |
|||
|26% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://thenationalpulse.com/2024/05/17/exc-blake-masters-surges-ahead-of-hamadeh-in-az-congressional-race/ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]{{efn-ua|name=masters}} |
|||
|May 13–15, 2024 |
|||
|400 (LV) |
|||
|– |
|||
|14% |
|||
|16% |
|||
|2% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''28%''' |
|||
|8% |
|||
|0%{{efn|Briody with 0%}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''32%''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Arizona-CD-8-Smart-Chart-Results.pdf SPRY Strategies]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by American Principles Project, which supports Masters}} |
|||
|April 24–26, 2024 |
|April 24–26, 2024 |
||
|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
||
Line 1,442: | Line 1,570: | ||
|– |
|– |
||
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''37%''' |
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''37%''' |
||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://breakingbattlegrounds.vote/district-8-primary-election-polling/ The Tyson Group]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds}} |
|||
|April 20–22, 2024 |
|||
|305 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|11% |
|||
|10% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''16%''' |
|||
|9% |
|||
|3%{{efn|Briody with 3%}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.scribd.com/document/704089464/AZ-8-RPV-Memo-docx Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]{{efn-ua|name=masters}} |
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.scribd.com/document/704089464/AZ-8-RPV-Memo-docx Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]{{efn-ua|name=masters}} |
||
Line 1,455: | Line 1,595: | ||
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''35%''' |
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''35%''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1tJckApaF8h_iz96LQRFTtU5aVg0si7ta/view National Public Affairs (R)]{{efn-ua| |
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1tJckApaF8h_iz96LQRFTtU5aVg0si7ta/view National Public Affairs (R)]{{efn-ua|name=Hamadeh|Poll sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign}} |
||
|December 16–17, 2023 |
|December 16–17, 2023 |
||
|418 (LV) |
|418 (LV) |
||
Line 1,479: | Line 1,619: | ||
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''34%''' |
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''34%''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://dataorbital.com/az-congressional-district-8-republican-primary-poll-blake-masters-with-strong-support-early/ Data Orbital (R)]{{efn-ua|name=masters| |
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://dataorbital.com/az-congressional-district-8-republican-primary-poll-blake-masters-with-strong-support-early/ Data Orbital (R)]{{efn-ua|name=masters|Poll sponsored by Masters's campaign}} |
||
|October 19–21, 2023 |
|October 19–21, 2023 |
||
|450 (LV) |
|450 (LV) |
||
Line 1,572: | Line 1,712: | ||
! colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:<br /> |
! colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:<br /> |
||
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} <small>Participant </small> {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} <small>Absent </small> {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} <small>Not invited </small> {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} <small>Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn</small> |
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} <small>Participant </small> {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} <small>Absent </small> {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} <small>Not invited </small> {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} <small>Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn</small> |
||
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} <small>Participant </small> |
|||
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} <small>Participant </small> |
|||
! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"| |
! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"| |
||
! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"| |
! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"| |
||
Line 1,731: | Line 1,869: | ||
;Organizations |
;Organizations |
||
*[[Campaign for Working Families]]<ref name="CWFendorsements" /> |
|||
*[[Turning Point Action]]<ref name="TPUSAENDORSE" /> |
*[[Turning Point Action]]<ref name="TPUSAENDORSE" /> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 1,759: | Line 1,896: | ||
===Democratic primary=== |
===Democratic primary=== |
||
====Declared==== |
====Declared==== |
||
*Quacy Smith, lawyer |
*Quacy Smith, lawyer<ref>{{cite news |last1=Randazzo |first1=Ryan |title=Lawyer Quacy Smith to challenge Rep. Paul Gosar for US House seat |url=https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2023/06/01/lawyer-quacy-smith-running-against-rep-paul-gosar-us-house-seat/70273793007/ |work=[[The Arizona Republic]] |date=June 1, 2023}}</ref> |
||
====Fundraising==== |
====Fundraising==== |
||
Line 1,860: | Line 1,997: | ||
;Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates |
;Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates |
||
*[https://www.shamanforcongress.com/ Jacob Chansley (L) for Congress] |
|||
*[https://www.trentfranks.com/ Trent Franks (R) for Congress] |
*[https://www.trentfranks.com/ Trent Franks (R) for Congress] |
||
*[https://abeforaz.com/ Abraham Hamadeh (R) for Congress] |
*[https://abeforaz.com/ Abraham Hamadeh (R) for Congress] |
Latest revision as of 18:21, 1 July 2024
![]() | ||||||||||
| ||||||||||
All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Elections in Arizona |
---|
![]() |
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from all nine of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will take place on July 30, 2024.
District 1[edit]
![]() | |||||||
| |||||||
|
This district is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale. The incumbent is Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Robert Backie, medical company sales director[2]
- Kim George, global security operations investigator[2]
- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Endorsements[edit]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Schweikert (R) | $2,076,804 | $937,640 | $1,192,100 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[10] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Robert Blackie | |||
Republican | Kim George | |||
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Andrei Cherny, former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (2011–2012), former CEO of Aspiration, Inc., nominee for Arizona State Treasurer in 2010, and candidate for the 9th district in 2012[11]
- Marlene Galán-Woods, former KSAZ-TV news anchor and widow of former Republican Arizona Attorney General Grant Woods[12]
- Andrew Horne, orthodontist[13]
- Kurt Kroemer, former CEO of the Arizona Red Cross[14]
- Conor O'Callaghan, global trading executive[15]
- Amish Shah, former state representative from the 5th district (2019–2024)[16]
Declined[edit]
- Jevin Hodge, former state representative from the 8th district (2024) and nominee for this district in 2022[17][18]
- Hiral Tipirneni, emergency room physician, nominee for this district[a] in 2020, and nominee for the 8th district in the 2018 special and general elections[19][20]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. executive officials
- Bill Clinton, 42nd president of the United States (1993–2001)[21]
- U.S representatives
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[22]
- Local officials
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix[23]
- Organizations
- Federal cabinet officials
- Janet Napolitano, former U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2009–2013) and former governor of Arizona (2003–2009)[27]
- U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[28]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. representative from California's 38th congressional district (2003–present)[29]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Organizations
- Vote Common Good (co-endorsement with Kroemer)[36]
- Organizations
- Vote Common Good (co-endorsement with Horne)[36]
- U.S. representatives
- Val Hoyle, U.S. representative from Oregon's 4th congressional district (2023–present)[37]
- Max Rose, former U.S. representative from New York's 11th congressional district (2019–2021)[38]
- Individuals
- Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University[39]
- Heather Digby Parton, political blogger[39]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andrei Cherny (D) | $1,850,516 | $665,451 | $1,185,065 |
Marlene Galán-Woods (D) | $1,204,059 | $521,186 | $682,873 |
Andrew Horne (D) | $920,445[b] | $224,972 | $695,473 |
Kurt Kroemer (D) | $285,155[c] | $174,281 | $110,874 |
Conor O'Callaghan (D) | $1,891,821[d] | $689,878 | $1,201,943 |
Amish Shah (D) | $1,217,993[e] | $703,318 | $514,675 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[10] |
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Andrei Cherny |
Marlene Galán-Woods |
Andrew Horne |
Conor O'Callaghan |
Amish Shah |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research[A] | June 10-19, 2024 | 406(LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 17% | 15% | 33%[g] |
Debate[edit]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||||
Andrei Cherny | Marlene Galán-Woods | Andrew Horne | Kurt Kroemer | Conor O'Callaghan | Amish Shah | |||||
1 | May. 17, 2024 | Steve Goldstien Richard Ruelas |
YouTube | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andrei Cherny | |||
Democratic | Marlene Galán-Woods | |||
Democratic | Andrew Horne | |||
Democratic | Kurt Kroemer | |||
Democratic | Conor O'Callaghan | |||
Democratic | Amish Shah | |||
Total votes |
Libertarian primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Michelle Martin[2]
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Tilt R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Tossup | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Tossup | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
District 2[edit]
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The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona. The incumbent is first-term Republican Eli Crane, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Eli Crane, incumbent U.S. representative[50]
- Jack Smith, former Arizona director for USDA Rural Development and former Yavapai County supervisor[51]
Declined[edit]
- Mark Lamb, Pinal County Sheriff (2017–present) (running for U.S. Senate)[52]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Eli Crane (R) | $3,935,292 | $2,625,043 | $1,376,504 |
Jack Smith (R) | $1,350 | $0 | $1,350 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[55] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Jack Smith | |||
Total votes |
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Jonathan Nez, former president of the Navajo Nation (2019–2023)[56]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Tribes
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jonathan Nez (D) | $380,266 | $154,214 | $226,052 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[61] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | |||
Total votes |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Safe R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Safe R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
District 3[edit]
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The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix.[62] The incumbent is Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2022.[1] He is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for U.S. Senate.
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Yassamin Ansari, former Phoenix city councilor (2021–2024)[63]
- Raquel Terán, former Minority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023) from the 26th district (2021–2023) and former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (2021–2023)[64]
- Duane Wooten, pediatrician[65]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Ylenia Aguilar, member of the Central Arizona Water Conservation District Board and the Osborn School District Board[66] (endorsed Terán, running for Corporation Commission)[67][68]
- Laura Pastor, Phoenix city councilor from the 4th district and daughter of former U.S. Representative Ed Pastor[69]
Declined[edit]
- Steve Gallardo, Maricopa County supervisor from the 5th district (2015–present) and former state senator from the 29th district (2003–2009, 2011–2015)[62] (running for re-election)[70]
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix (2019–present)[71]
- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for U.S. Senate)[72]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO (Co-endorsement with Terán)[30]
- Arizona Building Trades Unions[73]
- International Association of Fire Fighters[74]
- Organizations
- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, U.S. senator from Arizona (2020–present)[76]
- U.S. representatives
- Ann Kirkpatrick, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 2nd congressional district (2009–2011, 2013–2017, 2019–2023)[77]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO (Co-endorsement with Ansari)[30]
- Arizona Education Association[74]
- Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council[78]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 99[74]
- Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC[79]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[80]
- End Citizens United[81]
- Latino Victory[82]
- League of Conservation Voters[83]
- Let America Vote[81]
- Our Revolution[84]
- People's Action[85]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[86]
- PODER PAC[35]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[87]
- UnidosUS[88]
- Vote Mama[89]
- Working Families Party[90]
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Yassamin Ansari |
Raquel Terán |
Duane Wooten |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Smart[B] | April 24–28, 2024 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 30% | 7% | 6% | 37% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[C] | April 17–21, 2024 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 32% | 21% | 8% | – | 34% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[C] | October 26 – November 5, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 24% | 23% | – | – | 42% |
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Yassamin Ansari (D) | $1,408,820 | $506,411 | $902,409 |
Raquel Terán (D) | $856,888 | $408,902 | $447,986 |
Duane Wooten (D) | $36,054[h] | $25,477 | $10,576 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[91] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | |||
Democratic | Raquel Terán | |||
Democratic | Duane Wooten | |||
Total votes |
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Jesus Mendoza[2]
- Jeff Zink, strength conditioning specialist and nominee for this district in 2022[13]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jeff Zink (R) | $44,132[i] | $47,898 | $15,336 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[91] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jesus Mendoza | |||
Republican | Jeff Zink | |||
Total votes |
Libertarian primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Alan Aversa, teacher[2]
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 4[edit]
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The incumbent is Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
- AIPAC[4]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[92]
- Feminist Majority PAC[93]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[94]
- League of Conservation Voters[95]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[96]
- National Organization for Women PAC[97]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[98]
- Population Connection Action Fund[99]
- Sierra Club[100]
- Labor unions
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Stanton (D) | $1,541,651 | $641,796 | $933,196 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[103] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Kelly Cooper, restaurant owner and nominee for this district in 2022[104]
- Jerone Davison, pastor, former National Football League player, and candidate for this district in 2022[2]
- Dave Giles, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2016 and 2020[13]
- Zuhdi Jasser, physician and Islamic reformer[105]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kelly Cooper (R) | $363,908[j] | $336,052 | $86,600 |
Dave Giles (R) | $69,898[k] | $65,620 | $4,278 |
Zuhdi Jasser (R) | $428,273 | $171,701 | $256,571 |
Jerone Davidson (R) | $32,121 | $31,096 | $1,024 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[103] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Cooper | |||
Republican | Jerone Davison | |||
Republican | Dave Giles | |||
Republican | Zuhdi Jasser | |||
Total votes |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 5[edit]
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The incumbent is Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Andy Biggs, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andy Biggs (R) | $901,114 | $723,897 | $412,689 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[106] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Katrina Schaffner, cosmetology business owner[107]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Katrina Schaffner (D) | $5,426 | $1,627 | $7,578 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[106] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | |||
Total votes |
Independents and third-party candidates[edit]
Filed paperwork[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Evan Olson (Independent), sales director (running for state senate)[109]
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 6[edit]
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The incumbent is first-term Republican Juan Ciscomani, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Juan Ciscomani, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
- Kathleen Winn, former member of the Maricopa County Community College District Governing Board and candidate for this district in 2022[110]
Endorsements[edit]
- Individuals
- Cindy Biggs, activist and wife of U.S. Representative Andy Biggs[116]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Juan Ciscomani (R) | $3,358,989 | $961,074 | $2,452,350 |
Kathleen Winn (R) | $80,878 | $76,802 | $4,075 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[117] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Kathleen Winn | |||
Total votes |
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Kirsten Engel, former state senator from the 10th district (2021) and nominee for this district in 2022[118]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Jack O'Donnell, development executive and former Trump Plaza vice president[119]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, U.S. senator from Arizona (2020–present)[120]
- U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[121]
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[122]
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[123]
- DCCC Red to Blue[124]
- End Citizens United[125]
- EMILY's List[126]
- Giffords[122]
- Human Rights Campaign[127]
- J Street PAC[128]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[129]
- League of Conservation Voters[83]
- Let America Vote[125]
- National Organization for Women PAC[97]
- National Women's Political Caucus[34]
- NewDem Action Fund[130]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[86]
- Population Connection Action Fund[99]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[87]
- Sierra Club[100]
- UnidosUS[88]
- Labor unions
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kirsten Engel (D) | $2,509,53 | $638,525 | $1,872,318 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[117] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | |||
Total votes |
Libertarian primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Vance Cast (L) | $50,009[l] | $36,707 | $13,301 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[117] |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Tilt R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Tossup | April 17, 2024 |
Elections Daily[48] | Tossup | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Polling[edit]
- Juan Ciscomani vs. Kirsten Engel
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Juan Ciscomani (R) |
Kirsten Engel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[D] | May 28–30, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
District 7[edit]
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The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent is Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who won with 64.5% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Endorsements[edit]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Raúl Grijalva (D) | $330,251 | $223,597 | $312,859 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[136] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Daniel Butierez, painting contractor[2]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Daniel Butierez (R) | $6,757 | $11,233 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[136] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Butierez | |||
Total votes |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 8[edit]
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The incumbent is Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022. Lesko announced in October 2023 that she won't seek re-election in 2024.[1]
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Pat Briody, sales representative[2]
- Trent Franks, former U.S. Representative (2003–2017)[137]
- Abraham Hamadeh, former prosecutor in the Maricopa County Attorney's office, former U.S. Army captain, and nominee for Attorney General in 2022[138]
- Anthony Kern, state senator from the 27th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump[139]
- Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation, former COO of Thiel Capital, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[140]
- Ben Toma, Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives (2023–present) from the 27th district (2017–present)[141]
Declined[edit]
- Shawnna Bolick, state senator from the 2nd district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[142]
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative[143] (running for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, endorsed Toma)[144][145]
- Steve Montenegro, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present) and candidate for this seat in 2018[146]
- Elijah Norton, Arizona Republican Party treasurer and candidate for the 1st district in 2022[147]
- Austin Smith, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present)[142]
- Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present)[148]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Executive branch officials
- Richard Grenell, Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020), U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020)[149]
- Robert O'Brien, former National Security Adviser (2019–2021)[149]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[150]
- Statewide officials
- Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General (2015–2019)[149]
- Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Attorney General (2013–present)[149]
- State legislators
- Sonny Borrelli, Majority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 30th district (2017–present)[149]
- Alexander Kolodin, state representative from the 3rd district (2023–present)[149]
- Adam Kwasman, former state representative from the 11th district (2013–2015)[149]
- Wendy Rogers, state senator from the 7th district (2021–present)[149]
- Janae Shamp, state senator from the 29th district (2023–present)[149]
- Kelli Ward, former state senator from the 5th district (2013–2015) and former chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–2023)[149]
- Local officials
- Bernard Kerik, former New York City Police Commissioner (2000–2001)[149]
- Individuals
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor[151]
- Kash Patel, former Trump aide[149]
- Organizations
- U.S. senators
- J. D. Vance, U.S. senator from Ohio (2023–present)[153]
- U.S. representatives
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from Arizona (2011–present)[154]
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative for this district[145]
- Organizations
- Organizations
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Pat Briody (R) | $15,618[m] | $15,518 | $100 |
Trent Franks (R) | $277,352[n] | $69,881 | $207,470 |
Abraham Hamadeh (R) | $596,623 | $347,736 | $248,887 |
Anthony Kern (R) | $170,076[o] | $99,994 | $70,082 |
Blake Masters (R) | $6,377,314[p] | $2,026,615 | $2,724,434 |
Ben Toma (R) | $576,571 | $178,456 | $398,115 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[156] |
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Trent Franks |
Abe Hamadeh |
Anthony Kern |
Blake Masters |
Ben Toma |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Strategy Group Company[E] | June 10–12, 2024 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 12% | 30% | 3% | 19% | 10% | – | 26% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[F] | May 13–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 14% | 16% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 0%[q] | 32% |
SPRY Strategies[G] | April 24–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 26% | 9% | – | 37% |
The Tyson Group[H] | April 20–22, 2024 | 305 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 3%[r] | 48% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[F] | January 25–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 24% | 1% | 24% | 3% | 3%[s] | 35% |
National Public Affairs (R)[E] | December 16–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 37% | 3% | 14% | 7% | – | 34% |
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | – | 31% | – | 24% | 11% | – | 34% |
Data Orbital (R)[F] | October 19–21, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 18% | 6% | 33% | 7% | 5%[t] | 32% |
- Abe Hamadeh vs. Ben Toma
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Abe Hamadeh |
Ben Toma |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 12% | 47% |
- Abe Hamadeh vs. Blake Masters
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Abe Hamadeh |
Blake Masters |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 27% | 38% |
- Blake Masters vs. Ben Toma
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Blake Masters |
Ben Toma |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 42% | 15% | 43% |
Debate[edit]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||||
Pat Briody | Trent Franks | Abe Hamadeh | Anthony Kern | Blake Masters | Ben Toma | |||||
1 | Apr. 30, 2024 | Arizona PBS | Rick DeBruhl | [1] | I | P | P | P | P | P |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Briody | |||
Republican | Trent Franks | |||
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | |||
Republican | Anthony Kern | |||
Republican | Blake Masters | |||
Republican | Ben Toma | |||
Total votes |
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Greg Whitten, biosecurity contractor and former U.S. Department of Defense official[157]
Endorsements[edit]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Whitten (D) | $159,740[u] | $129,362 | $30,379 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[156] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Whitten | |||
Total votes |
Libertarian primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Jacob Chansley, author, convicted felon, and participant in the January 6 United States Capitol attack[158]
Independents[edit]
Declared[edit]
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 9[edit]
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The incumbent is Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[1]
Republican primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative[160]
Endorsements[edit]
- State legislators
- Sonny Borrelli, Majority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 30th district (2017–present)[161]
- Tim Dunn, state representative from the 25th district (2023–present)[161]
- John Gillette, state representative from the 30th district (2023–present)[161]
- Austin Smith, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present)[161]
- Local officials
- Rodney Glassman, former Tucson city councilor[161]
- Mark Lamb, Pinal County Sheriff (2017–present)[161]
- Individuals
- Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation[161]
- Organizations
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Paul Gosar (R) | $289,507 | $290,944 | $118,322 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[162] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
Democratic primary[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Quacy Smith, lawyer[163]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Quacy Smith (D) | $67,034[v] | $60,889 | $8,232 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[162] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Quacy Smith | |||
Total votes |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Notes[edit]
- ^ This district was numbered as the 6th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
- ^ $749,537 of this total was self-funded by Horne
- ^ $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Kroemer
- ^ $875,549 of this total was self-funded by O'Callaghan
- ^ $163,300 of this total was self-funded by Shah
- ^ a b c d e f g Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Wooten
- ^ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Zink
- ^ $50,214 of this total was self-funded by Cooper
- ^ $1,255 of this total was self-funded by Giles
- ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Cast
- ^ $15,618 of this total was self-funded by Briody
- ^ $250,000 of this total was self-funded by Franks
- ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Kern
- ^ $6,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Masters
- ^ Briody with 0%
- ^ Briody with 3%
- ^ Isiah Gallegos with 3%
- ^ "Refused" with 5%
- ^ $23,000 of this total was self-funded by Whitten
- ^ $40,000 of this total was self-funded by Smith
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Progress Arizona, which supports Terán
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Ansari's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Ciscomani's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Masters's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Principles Project, which supports Masters
- ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
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Norton, who is currently the state party treasurer, tweeted Thursday, 'I am gracious for the encouragement I have received by those asking me to run for CD-8 following @RepDLesko's retirement (who we thank for her service), but I must humbly decline.'
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External links[edit]
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Robert Backie (R) for Congress
- Andrei Cherny (D) for Congress
- Kim George (R) for Congress
- Andrew Horne (D) for Congress
- Kurt Kroemer (D) for Congress
- Conor O'Callaghan (D) for Congress
- David Schweikert (R) for Congress
- Amish Shah (D) for Congress
- Marlene Galán-Woods (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Yassamin Ansari (D) for Congress
- Raquel Terán (D) for Congress
- Jeff Zink (R) for Congress
- Duane Wooten (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Jacob Chansley (L) for Congress
- Trent Franks (R) for Congress
- Abraham Hamadeh (R) for Congress
- Anthony Kern (R) for Congress
- Blake Masters (R) for Congress
- Jeremy Spreitzer (I) for Congress
- Ben Toma (R) for Congress
- Greg Whitten (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates